SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-2 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | SC Farense |
60.46% ( -0.42) | 20.83% ( 0.15) | 18.7% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 56.69% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.95% ( -0.22) | 40.04% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.59% ( -0.23) | 62.41% ( 0.23) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.15% ( -0.19) | 12.84% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.8% ( -0.39) | 39.2% ( 0.39) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.04% ( 0.17) | 34.96% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.3% ( 0.17) | 71.7% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | SC Farense |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.58% Total : 60.46% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.83% | 1-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.8% Total : 18.7% |
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