SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | SC Farense |
46.8% ( 0.07) | 24.46% ( 0.03) | 28.74% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 56.7% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.24% ( -0.2) | 45.76% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.92% ( -0.19) | 68.08% ( 0.2) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.35% ( -0.05) | 19.65% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.37% ( -0.08) | 51.63% ( 0.09) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.57% ( -0.18) | 29.43% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.57% ( -0.22) | 65.43% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | SC Farense |
| 1-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 46.8% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.34% Total : 28.74% |
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