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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 28, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Portimao
E

Portimonense
1 - 0
Estoril

Pedrao (31')
Carlinhos (21'), Varela (33'), Relvas (36'), Dener (58'), Silvestre (70'), Tornich (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tavares (7'), Carlos (90+9')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sintrense 0-5 Estoril
Sunday, October 22 at 11am in Taca de Portugal

We said: Portimonense 2-1 Estoril Praia

Neither team can boast impressive performances in the Primeira Liga this season, but Portimonense enter this match as favourites with home field advantage on their side. The 5-0 away win in the Taca de Portugal may have given Estoril confidence, but their away record this season suggests it will be very difficult to pick up at least a point on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawEstoril Praia
27.76% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 24.66% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 47.57% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.3% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.72% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)47.28% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.49% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)69.51% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.07% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)30.93% (0.031000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.77% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)67.23% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.06% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)19.94% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.91% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)52.09% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 27.76%
    Estoril Praia 47.57%
    Draw 24.66%
PortimonenseDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 7.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 6.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 27.76%
1-1 @ 11.66%
0-0 @ 6.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.66%
0-1 @ 9.94% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.41% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 8.02% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 4.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 47.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sporting Covilha 1-4 Portimonense
Friday, October 20 at 7pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Porto 1-0 Portimonense
Sunday, October 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 2-3 Portimonense
Saturday, September 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-3 Benfica
Sunday, September 24 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-2 Portimonense
Sunday, September 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, September 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sintrense 0-5 Estoril
Sunday, October 22 at 11am in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Benfica
Saturday, October 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 3-2 Estoril
Sunday, October 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Leixoes 1-2 Estoril
Wednesday, September 27 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Estoril 2-2 Vizela
Saturday, September 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 5-3 Estoril
Sunday, September 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga


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