SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Mafra had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Mafra win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Estoril Praia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Mafra |
45.31% ( -0.01) | 24.52% ( -0) | 30.17% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.4% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.75% ( 0.01) | 45.25% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.41% ( 0.01) | 67.59% ( -0) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.92% ( 0) | 20.08% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.69% ( -0) | 52.31% ( 0) |
| Mafra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.82% ( 0.01) | 28.18% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.12% ( 0.01) | 63.88% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Mafra |
| 2-1 @ 9.24% 1-0 @ 9.09% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.29% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.9% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.57% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.91% Total : 45.31% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.17% 0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.17% |
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