SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.98%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 10.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Estoril Praia |
72.98% ( 0.06) | 16.35% ( -0.02) | 10.67% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.14% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.26% ( 0) | 36.73% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.1% ( 0) | 58.9% ( -0) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.27% ( 0.01) | 8.72% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70% ( 0.03) | 30% ( -0.03) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.03% ( -0.06) | 43.97% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.9% ( -0.05) | 80.1% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 2-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.62% 4-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.65% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.27% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.12% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.93% 6-1 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 72.98% | 1-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.84% ( -0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 16.35% | 1-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.15% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 10.67% |
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