SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 51.28%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 21.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
51.28% ( 4.05) | 27.13% ( -1.33) | 21.59% ( -2.72) |
| Both teams to score 42.39% ( 0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.8% ( 2.22) | 61.2% ( -2.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.86% ( 1.63) | 81.14% ( -1.63) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.88% ( 2.96) | 24.12% ( -2.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.58% ( 4.03) | 58.42% ( -4.04) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.86% ( -1.42) | 44.14% ( 1.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.76% ( -1.19) | 80.24% ( 1.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
| 1-0 @ 15.13% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.89)2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.41)3-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.81)3-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.52)4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.41)3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.29)Other @ 2.28% Total : 51.26% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.47) 0-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.92)2-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.5% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( -1.13) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.4)0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.62)1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.22)Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.59% |
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