Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 44.51%. A win for Union La Calera had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Union La Calera win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Everton | Draw | Union La Calera |
44.51% ( -0.46) | 25.48% ( -0.08) | 30% ( 0.54) |
Both teams to score 54.09% ( 0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.47% ( 0.6) | 49.54% ( -0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.44% ( 0.54) | 71.56% ( -0.53) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.78% ( 0.05) | 22.22% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.36% ( 0.06) | 55.64% ( -0.06) |
Union La Calera Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.54% ( 0.7) | 30.46% ( -0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.32% ( 0.82) | 66.68% ( -0.81) |
Score Analysis |
Everton | Draw | Union La Calera |
1-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.27% Total : 44.51% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.1% Total : 30% |
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