SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Aston Villa |
44.27% ( 0.23) | 26.72% ( 0.11) | 29.01% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 49.71% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.05% ( -0.58) | 54.94% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.77% ( -0.48) | 76.22% ( 0.48) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.32% ( -0.14) | 24.68% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.79% ( -0.2) | 59.21% ( 0.2) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66% ( -0.57) | 34% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.32% ( -0.62) | 70.68% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 1-0 @ 11.74% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 44.27% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.31% Total : 29.01% |
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