SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Everton had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Everton |
41.25% ( 0.06) | 25.09% ( 0.34) | 33.66% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 56.92% ( -1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.48% ( -1.64) | 46.52% ( 1.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.21% ( -1.56) | 68.79% ( 1.55) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.53% ( -0.67) | 22.47% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.99% ( -1.02) | 56.01% ( 1.02) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.42% ( -1.02) | 26.58% ( 1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.2% ( -1.37) | 61.8% ( 1.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Everton |
| 1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.26% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.18% Total : 33.66% |
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