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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 25.75% and a draw has a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.61%).
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Aston Villa |
51.27% ( -0.29) | 22.99% ( 0.07) | 25.75% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 59.2% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.68% ( -0.09) | 41.32% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.28% ( -0.09) | 63.72% ( 0.1) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.77% ( -0.14) | 16.23% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.26% ( -0.25) | 45.74% ( 0.25) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.66% ( 0.13) | 29.34% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.69% ( 0.16) | 65.31% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.45% Total : 51.27% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.28% Total : 25.75% |
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