Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
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