SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.98%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
41.88% ( 0.28) | 23.43% ( 0.03) | 34.68% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 63.18% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.53% ( -0.21) | 38.47% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.24% ( -0.22) | 60.76% ( 0.22) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.22% ( 0.03) | 18.77% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.82% ( 0.06) | 50.17% ( -0.06) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.78% ( -0.26) | 22.21% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.36% ( -0.39) | 55.63% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.52% Total : 41.88% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.43% | 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.42% Total : 34.68% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
