Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 54.11%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.
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