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League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
BR

Exeter
3 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Fitzwater (72'), Alli (78'), Richards (90+6')
Niskanen (13'), McDonald (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Omochere (61')
Conteh (30'), Lindsay (68')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Wrexham
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-0 Bristol Rovers

Neither side come into this match in the best form, though Exeter may have gained some confidence having won last time out. Additionally, with the Gas' struggles in front of goal it is difficult to see them scoring in this game, and the Grecians can be expected to pick up all three points in a narrow win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 48.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBristol Rovers
48.74% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 25.64%25.62% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.47% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.23% (0.021000000000001 0.02)52.77% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.6% (0.016999999999999 0.02)74.4% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.33% (0.00099999999999056 0)21.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.19%54.81% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.44% (0.031000000000006 0.03)35.56% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.67% (0.033000000000001 0.03)72.33% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 48.73%
    Bristol Rovers 25.62%
    Draw 25.64%
Exeter CityDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 11.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.01% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.75%
3-0 @ 4.59% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.76% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 48.73%
1-1 @ 12.18%
0-0 @ 7.71% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 7.97%
1-2 @ 6.3% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.12% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 25.62%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Barnsley
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 2-2 Wycombe
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 2-0 Chesterfield
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Wrexham
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-0 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-0 Bristol Rovers (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Blackpool
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Mansfield 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One


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