Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 48.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
Result | ||
Exeter City | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
48.74% (![]() | 25.64% | 25.62% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.47% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.23% (![]() | 52.77% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.6% (![]() | 74.4% (![]() |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.33% (![]() | 21.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.19% | 54.81% (![]() |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.44% (![]() | 35.56% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.67% (![]() | 72.33% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Exeter City | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.78% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.32% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.01% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.75% 3-0 @ 4.59% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.32% Total : 48.73% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 7.71% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.82% ( ![]() Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 7.97% 1-2 @ 6.3% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.12% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.42% ( ![]() Other @ 1.99% Total : 25.62% |
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