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League One | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
St James Park
LC

Exeter
0 - 0
Lincoln


Woods (66'), Sweeney (72')
Woods (90')
FT

McGrandles (13'), House (44')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Charlton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 5-0 Man City U21s
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Exeter City 0-0 Lincoln City

Exeter are the masters of pragmatism in League One, being near the bottom of the scoring charts but fighting for a playoff spot, with eight clean sheets from 13 league games so far. However, Lincoln are very strong on the road, with just one league defeat away from home this season, meaning this encounter should be extremely tight and tough to call. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawLincoln City
39.86% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 26.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 33.31% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.12% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.05% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)53.94% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.6% (-0.02 -0.02)75.39% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.48% (0.007000000000005 0.01)26.51% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.29% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)61.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.56% (-0.032999999999987 -0.03)30.43% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.36% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)66.64% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 39.86%
    Lincoln City 33.31%
    Draw 26.82%
Exeter CityDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 10.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.24%
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 39.86%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.82%
0-1 @ 9.6%
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Charlton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 5-3 Barnet
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-3 Exeter
Tuesday, October 29 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Huddersfield 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Reading
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Exeter
Thursday, October 17 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 5-0 Man City U21s
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Chesham 0-4 Lincoln
Monday, November 4 at 7.15pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Northampton
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Stockport
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 3-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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