SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 46%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
28.83% ( -0.65) | 25.17% ( -0.17) | 46% ( 0.82) |
| Both teams to score 54.38% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.18% ( 0.37) | 48.82% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.08% ( 0.33) | 70.92% ( -0.33) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.05% ( -0.28) | 30.94% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.76% ( -0.33) | 67.24% ( 0.33) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.75% ( 0.52) | 21.25% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.84% ( 0.8) | 54.15% ( -0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.96% Total : 28.83% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.51% Total : 45.99% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
