SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fakel win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Khimki win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fakel | Draw | Khimki |
38.66% ( -0.22) | 28.43% ( 0.25) | 32.91% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.24% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.96% ( -0.88) | 60.04% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.73% ( -0.67) | 80.26% ( 0.67) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.88% ( -0.56) | 30.12% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.73% ( -0.68) | 66.27% ( 0.68) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.17% ( -0.47) | 33.83% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.5% ( -0.52) | 70.5% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fakel | Draw | Khimki |
| 1-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.65% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.43% | 0-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.39% Total : 32.91% |
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