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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Falkirk Community Stadium
DA

Falkirk
2 - 1
Dunfermline

Hamilton (24' og.), Miller (57')
Tait (49'), Adams (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McCann (72')
Todd (19'), Mebude (59'), Hamilton (90+1'), Clay (90+5')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Falkirk and Dunfermline Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hamilton 1-3 Falkirk
Friday, October 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dunfermline 0-0 Morton
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 21.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.

Result
FalkirkDrawDunfermline Athletic
53.61% (0.034999999999997 0.03) 24.71% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 21.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.98% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.4% (0.068999999999996 0.07)52.6% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.75% (0.059000000000001 0.06)74.26% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43% (0.040999999999997 0.04)19.58% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.5% (0.064 0.06)51.5% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.9% (0.028999999999996 0.03)39.1% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.18% (0.024999999999999 0.02)75.82% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Falkirk 53.6%
    Dunfermline Athletic 21.69%
    Draw 24.7%
FalkirkDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 12.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 5.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.2% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 53.6%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.66% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 24.7%
0-1 @ 7.19% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.5%
0-2 @ 3.38% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 21.69%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hamilton 1-3 Falkirk
Friday, October 18 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Partick 1-1 Falkirk
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Falkirk 0-0 Livingston
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Falkirk 2-0 Ayr
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Raith Rovers 1-0 Falkirk
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Celtic 5-2 Falkirk
Sunday, September 22 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Dunfermline 0-0 Morton
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dunfermline 2-1 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, October 12 at 1pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-1 Dunfermline
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dunfermline 1-2 Queen's Park
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Partick 1-0 Dunfermline
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dunfermline 2-0 Raith Rovers
Friday, September 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship


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