Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
Result | ||
Falkirk | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
53.61% ( 0.03) | 24.71% ( -0.02) | 21.69% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.98% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.4% ( 0.07) | 52.6% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.75% ( 0.06) | 74.26% ( -0.05) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.43% ( 0.04) | 19.58% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.5% ( 0.06) | 51.5% ( -0.06) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.9% ( 0.03) | 39.1% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.18% ( 0.02) | 75.82% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Falkirk | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
1-0 @ 12.48% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.53% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 53.6% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 24.7% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.5% 0-2 @ 3.38% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 1.44% Total : 21.69% |
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