SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 22.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for an Alanyaspor win it was 1-2 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Alanyaspor |
55.05% ( -0.46) | 22.74% ( 0.18) | 22.21% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 55.84% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.16% ( -0.49) | 43.84% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.77% ( -0.48) | 66.23% ( 0.49) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.19% ( -0.33) | 15.81% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.03% ( -0.61) | 44.97% ( 0.61) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.32% ( -0.02) | 33.68% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.67% ( -0.02) | 70.33% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Alanyaspor |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.53% Total : 55.05% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.73% | 1-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.24% Total : 22.21% |
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