SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 52.57%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 23.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
52.57% ( 0.01) | 23.99% ( -0.01) | 23.44% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.31% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.06% ( 0.02) | 47.93% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.88% ( 0.02) | 70.11% ( -0.02) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.8% ( 0.01) | 18.2% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.79% ( 0.02) | 49.2% ( -0.02) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.17% | 34.83% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.43% ( 0) | 71.56% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.2% 3-1 @ 5.51% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.23% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 3.41% Total : 52.56% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 0-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.99% | 0-1 @ 6.68% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.53% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 23.44% |
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