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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York City FC |
49.98% ( -0.18) | 23.05% ( -0.01) | 26.96% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 60.14% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.41% ( 0.17) | 40.58% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.03% ( 0.17) | 62.96% ( -0.17) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.58% ( -0) | 16.42% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.92% ( -0) | 46.08% ( 0) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.95% ( 0.21) | 28.04% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.3% ( 0.27) | 63.69% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York City FC |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 3.42% Total : 49.98% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.04% | 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.76% Total : 26.96% |
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