SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 61.71%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 18.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 1-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Nashville SC |
61.71% ( 0.01) | 19.95% ( -0) | 18.33% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.16% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.51% ( -0) | 36.49% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.36% ( -0) | 58.63% ( -0) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.59% | 11.4% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.83% ( 0) | 36.16% ( -0.01) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.77% ( -0.01) | 33.22% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.16% ( -0.01) | 69.83% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% 2-0 @ 8.93% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.23% 3-1 @ 7.12% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.46% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.92% 4-1 @ 3.87% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.51% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.13% 5-1 @ 1.68% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.52% 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.57% Total : 61.71% | 1-1 @ 9.07% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.79% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.95% | 1-2 @ 4.99% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.18% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.3% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 18.33% |
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