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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
46.4% ( 0.24) | 22.82% ( -0.06) | 30.78% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 63.82% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.05% ( 0.18) | 36.95% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.86% ( 0.2) | 59.13% ( -0.2) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.64% ( 0.16) | 16.36% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.02% ( 0.29) | 45.98% ( -0.29) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.31% ( -0.02) | 23.69% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.19% ( -0.03) | 57.81% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.52% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.63% Total : 46.4% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.82% | 1-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.78% |
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