J1 League | Gameweek 38
Dec 8, 2024 at 5am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium
Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Cerezo Osaka.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.
| Result |
| FC Tokyo | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
38.01% ( 0.42) | 25.82% ( 0.04) | 36.17% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 54.84% ( -0.15) |
| 50.61% ( -0.18) | 49.39% ( 0.18) |
| 28.57% ( -0.16) | 71.43% ( 0.16) |
| 74.57% ( 0.15) | 25.43% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.76% ( 0.2) | 60.24% ( -0.2) |
| 73.54% ( -0.34) | 26.46% ( 0.34) |
