Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cerezo Osaka in this match.

Result
Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
38.94% ( -0.04)	27.57% ( -0.01)	33.5% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 48.86% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.18% (

0.05)

56.82% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.25% (

0.04)

77.75% (

-0.04)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.61% (

28.39% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.86% (

64.14% (

-0)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.24% (

0.06)

31.77% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.81% (

0.07)

68.19% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Cerezo Osaka 38.93%

Avispa Fukuoka 33.5%

Draw 27.57%

Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 11.35% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 3% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 38.93%	1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.57%	0-1 @ 10.34% 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 33.5%