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J1 League | Gameweek 3
Mar 9, 2024 at 7am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
1 - 2
Vissel Kobe

Koizumi (50')
Morishige (7')
Trevisan (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Miyashiro (57'), Osako (74')
Thuler (89')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Vissel Kobe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, March 2 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-1 Reysol
Saturday, March 2 at 4am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.

Result
FC TokyoDrawVissel Kobe
28.93% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 26.67%44.39% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.82% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.21% (0.012 0.01)54.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.9% (0.010000000000002 0.01)76.09% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.03% (0.016000000000005 0.02)33.97% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.35% (0.016999999999999 0.02)70.65% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.45% (0.0040000000000049 0)24.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)59.03%
Score Analysis
    FC Tokyo 28.94%
    Vissel Kobe 44.39%
    Draw 26.66%
FC TokyoDrawVissel Kobe
1-0 @ 9%
2-1 @ 6.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.86% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 28.94%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 8.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 11.71%
1-2 @ 8.88%
0-2 @ 8.23% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
1-3 @ 4.16%
0-3 @ 3.85% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.46%
0-4 @ 1.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 44.39%

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Form Guide
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, March 2 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, February 24 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-1 FC Tokyo
Sunday, December 3 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-3 Consadole
Saturday, November 25 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 0-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, November 11 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-2 Hiroshima
Saturday, October 28 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-1 Reysol
Saturday, March 2 at 4am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-2 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, February 24 at 4am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-0 Inter Miami (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, February 7 at 10am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 0-1 Vissel Kobe
Sunday, December 3 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, November 25 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 1-2 Vissel Kobe
Sunday, November 12 at 6am in J1 League


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