SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Union SG |
48.01% ( 0.09) | 24.76% ( 0.01) | 27.23% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 54.56% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.95% ( -0.11) | 48.05% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.78% ( -0.1) | 70.22% ( 0.1) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.94% ( -0.01) | 20.06% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.71% ( -0.01) | 52.29% ( 0.01) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.26% ( -0.13) | 31.74% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.83% ( -0.15) | 68.17% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Union SG |
| 1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 48% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 27.23% |
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