SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Utrecht in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Utrecht.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Twente |
43.93% ( 1.06) | 24.53% ( 0.06) | 31.54% ( -1.12) |
| Both teams to score 58.06% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.31% ( -0.68) | 44.68% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.95% ( -0.66) | 67.05% ( 0.66) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.55% ( 0.19) | 20.45% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.09% ( 0.31) | 52.91% ( -0.31) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.99% ( -1.03) | 27.01% ( 1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.63% ( -1.36) | 62.37% ( 1.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.3)2-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 43.93% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.52% | 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.05% Total : 31.54% |
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