SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 70.72%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 12.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 3-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
70.72% ( -0.42) | 16.67% ( 0.21) | 12.61% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 56.94% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.32% ( -0.52) | 32.67% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.65% ( -0.6) | 54.35% ( 0.6) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.78% ( -0.22) | 8.21% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.26% ( -0.55) | 28.74% ( 0.54) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.04% ( -0.05) | 37.96% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.27% ( -0.04) | 74.73% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
| 2-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.36% Total : 70.72% | 1-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 16.67% | 1-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.81% Total : 12.61% |
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