Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 66.36%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 16.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for a Jong Ajax win it was 1-2 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.
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