SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 56.92%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 21.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.14%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (5.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Besiktas |
56.92% ( -0.08) | 21.17% ( 0.04) | 21.9% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 60.89% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.02% ( -0.13) | 36.98% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.83% ( -0.14) | 59.16% ( 0.14) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.1% ( -0.07) | 12.9% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.69% ( -0.14) | 39.31% ( 0.13) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.9% ( -0.04) | 30.1% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.76% ( -0.05) | 66.24% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Besiktas |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.93% Total : 56.92% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.17% | 1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 21.9% |
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