SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 43.83%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 26.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.2%), while for a Rampla Juniors win it was 0-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fenix in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenix | Draw | Rampla Juniors |
43.83% ( -1.76) | 30.01% ( 0.65) | 26.16% ( 1.11) |
| Both teams to score 39.47% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33% ( -1.33) | 67% ( 1.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.74% ( -0.91) | 85.27% ( 0.92) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.36% ( -1.63) | 30.64% ( 1.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.12% ( -1.97) | 66.89% ( 1.98) |
| Rampla Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.91% ( 0.23) | 43.09% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.63% ( 0.2) | 79.37% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenix | Draw | Rampla Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 15.61% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.39)2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.28)3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.33)3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.22% Total : 43.82% | 0-0 @ 13.2% ( 0.64) 1-1 @ 13.14% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.39% Total : 30% | 0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.6) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.28)1-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.05% Total : 26.16% |
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