SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 36.32%. A win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.27%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Rampla Juniors win was 1-0 (12.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rampla Juniors | Draw | Cerro Largo |
33.81% ( -0.11) | 29.87% ( -0.03) | 36.32% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 42.42% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.26% ( 0.07) | 64.74% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.29% ( 0.05) | 83.71% ( -0.05) |
| Rampla Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.29% ( -0.04) | 35.71% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.51% ( -0.04) | 72.48% ( 0.04) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.99% ( 0.13) | 34.01% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.31% ( 0.14) | 70.69% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rampla Juniors | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 12.5% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 33.8% | 1-1 @ 13.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 12.14% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.86% | 0-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 36.31% |
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