SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Rampla Juniors win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rampla Juniors | Draw | Progreso |
29.93% ( 0.03) | 27.78% ( -0.01) | 42.29% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.1% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.5% ( 0.06) | 58.5% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.92% ( 0.05) | 79.08% ( -0.05) |
| Rampla Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.81% ( 0.05) | 35.19% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.06% ( 0.06) | 71.94% ( -0.05) |
| Progreso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.68% ( 0.03) | 27.33% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.22% ( 0.03) | 62.78% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rampla Juniors | Draw | Progreso |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.25% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 29.93% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.77% | 0-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 42.29% |
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