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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Aug 19, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Luis Franzini

Defensor
1 - 2
Rampla

Spinelli (1')
Valiente (4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Burruzo (5', 9')
Dibble (16'), Machado (29')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Rampla Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Penarol 1-0 Defensor
Saturday, July 27 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro 4-1 Rampla
Sunday, July 28 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 53.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Rampla Juniors win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Defensor SportingDrawRampla Juniors
53.16% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07) 25.35% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 21.5% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 46.92% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.8% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)55.2% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)76.43% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)20.78% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)53.43% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Rampla Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.23% (0.036999999999999 0.04)40.77% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.65% (0.032999999999998 0.03)77.35% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Defensor Sporting 53.15%
    Rampla Juniors 21.5%
    Draw 25.34%
Defensor SportingDrawRampla Juniors
1-0 @ 13.31%
2-0 @ 10.45% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 53.15%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.47% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.0029999999999992 0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 7.6% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.41% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 21.5%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Penarol 1-0 Defensor
Saturday, July 27 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 0-1 River Plate
Friday, July 19 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Fenix 1-2 Defensor
Sunday, July 14 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 1-1 Wanderers
Sunday, July 7 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 0-1 Defensor
Saturday, June 22 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 1-1 Progreso
Sunday, June 16 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro 4-1 Rampla
Sunday, July 28 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-1 Rampla
Saturday, July 20 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Rampla 3-2 Liverpool
Saturday, July 13 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Rampla 3-2 Liverpool
Saturday, July 13 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 1-1 Rampla
Sunday, July 7 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Rampla 1-2 Miramar Misiones
Sunday, June 23 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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