Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.94%) and 1-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Fenix win was 1-0 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fenix | Draw | Progreso |
30.62% (![]() | 29.37% (![]() | 40.01% (![]() |
Both teams to score 43.09% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.38% (![]() | 63.63% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.08% (![]() | 82.92% (![]() |
Fenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.56% (![]() | 37.45% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.77% (![]() | 74.23% (![]() |
Progreso Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.88% (![]() | 31.12% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.55% (![]() | 67.45% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Fenix | Draw | Progreso |
1-0 @ 11.44% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.56% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.62% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 1.75% Total : 30.62% | 1-1 @ 13.36% (![]() 0-0 @ 11.65% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.83% ( ![]() Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.37% | 0-1 @ 13.6% (![]() 0-2 @ 7.94% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 7.8% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.09% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 2.15% Total : 40.01% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: