SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 64.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 16.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Feyenoord in this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
64.23% ( -0.39) | 19.71% ( 0.38) | 16.06% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 55.05% ( -1.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.45% ( -1.83) | 39.55% ( 1.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.1% ( -1.93) | 61.89% ( 1.92) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.36% ( -0.64) | 11.64% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.33% ( -1.39) | 36.67% ( 1.38) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.3% ( -1.13) | 37.7% ( 1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.52% ( -1.12) | 74.48% ( 1.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.56)3-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.19)4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.15)5-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.99% Total : 64.22% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.36)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.71% | 1-2 @ 4.49% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.17% Total : 16.06% |
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