SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Napoli |
42.61% ( -1.46) | 24.57% ( -0.02) | 32.81% ( 1.48) |
| Both teams to score 58.46% ( 0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.6% ( 0.66) | 44.39% ( -0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.23% ( 0.64) | 66.76% ( -0.65) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.08% ( -0.38) | 20.92% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.35% ( -0.6) | 53.64% ( 0.59) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.92% ( 1.25) | 26.07% ( -1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.88% ( 1.65) | 61.12% ( -1.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Napoli |
| 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.35)2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.36)3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 42.61% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.22)2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.17)1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.41% Total : 32.81% |
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