SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
44.93% ( -1.92) | 23.29% ( 0.22) | 31.78% ( 1.7) |
| Both teams to score 62.61% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.23% ( -0.21) | 38.77% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.92% ( -0.22) | 61.07% ( 0.22) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.36% ( -0.83) | 17.64% ( 0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.76% ( -1.45) | 48.24% ( 1.45) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.02% ( 0.93) | 23.98% ( -0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.77% ( 1.31) | 58.22% ( -1.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.27)4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.17)Other @ 3.93% Total : 44.93% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.22)2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.18)1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.87% Total : 31.78% |
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