In this meeting between the two teams with the highest average possession of the Serie A season - Napoli with 59% and Fiorentina on 57% - the fight for midfield supremacy could be integral to either side's success. If they can win that tussle, the hosts are best placed to claim all three points from a close-fought affair, as their greater individual ability in attack can make the difference once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 58.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 19.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-2 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Fiorentina
58.89%	21.23%	19.87%

Both teams to score 57.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.91%

40.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.55%

62.45%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.68%

13.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.83%

40.17%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.22%

33.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.56%

70.43%

Score Analysis

Napoli 58.89%

Fiorentina 19.87%

Draw 21.23%

Napoli	Draw	Fiorentina
2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.14% 1-0 @ 9.07% 3-1 @ 6.67% 3-0 @ 6.14% 3-2 @ 3.62% 4-1 @ 3.36% 4-0 @ 3.1% 4-2 @ 1.83% 5-1 @ 1.36% 5-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.44% Total : 58.89%	1-1 @ 9.84% 2-2 @ 5.39% 0-0 @ 4.5% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.23%	1-2 @ 5.34% 0-1 @ 4.88% 0-2 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 1.95% 1-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.16% Total : 19.87%