Now stepping up in class after a straightforward start to the fixture list, Napoli will find it tougher to maintain their ferocious scoring rate, but such are Spalletti's options they should still find the net more than once. Fiorentina can fight fire with fire, though, and an entertaining affair should be in prospect to conclude Serie A's third round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 37.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Napoli
38.01% ( 1.16)	24.72% ( 0.01)	37.27% ( -1.16)

Both teams to score 58.79% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.67% (

-0.02)

44.33% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.29% (

-0.02)

66.7% (

0.02)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.87% (

0.6)

23.13% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43% (

0.87)

56.99% (

-0.86)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.48% (

-0.61)

23.52% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.44% (

-0.9)

57.55% (

0.9)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 38.01%

Napoli 37.27%

Draw 24.71%

Fiorentina	Draw	Napoli
2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.01%	1-1 @ 11.52% 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.71%	1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.12% Total : 37.27%