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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
NL

Fiorentina
0 - 0
Napoli


Martinez (60'), Jovic (68')
FT

Zambo Anguissa (3'), Spalletti (19'), Raspadori (90'), Ndombele (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 0-0 Fiorentina
Thursday, August 25 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Napoli 4-0 Monza
Sunday, August 21 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-2 Napoli

Now stepping up in class after a straightforward start to the fixture list, Napoli will find it tougher to maintain their ferocious scoring rate, but such are Spalletti's options they should still find the net more than once. Fiorentina can fight fire with fire, though, and an entertaining affair should be in prospect to conclude Serie A's third round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 37.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawNapoli
38.01% (1.156 1.16) 24.72% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 37.27% (-1.163 -1.16)
Both teams to score 58.79% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.67% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)44.33% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.29% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)66.7% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.87% (0.59999999999999 0.6)23.13% (-0.597 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43% (0.866 0.87)56.99% (-0.86499999999999 -0.86)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.48% (-0.61399999999999 -0.61)23.52% (0.617 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.44% (-0.897 -0.9)57.55% (0.89899999999999 0.9)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 38.01%
    Napoli 37.27%
    Draw 24.71%
FiorentinaDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.151 0.15)
1-0 @ 7.96% (0.147 0.15)
2-0 @ 5.83% (0.207 0.21)
3-1 @ 4.12% (0.144 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.85% (0.149 0.15)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.078 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 38.01%
1-1 @ 11.52%
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.71%
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-1 @ 7.87% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-2 @ 5.7% (-0.205 -0.2)
1-3 @ 4.03% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.151 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 37.27%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: FC Twente 0-0 Fiorentina
Thursday, August 25 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Empoli 0-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, August 21 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 FC Twente
Thursday, August 18 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fiorentina 3-2 Cremonese
Sunday, August 14 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, July 31 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Juventus
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 4-0 Monza
Sunday, August 21 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-5 Napoli
Monday, August 15 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 3-0 Genoa
Sunday, May 15 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 0-1 Napoli
Saturday, May 7 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 6-1 Sassuolo
Saturday, April 30 at 2pm in Serie A


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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