SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 56.68%. A win for The New Saints had a probability of 22.23% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 1-0 (7.69%). The likeliest The New Saints win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | The New Saints |
56.68% ( -0.75) | 21.09% ( 0.42) | 22.23% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 61.69% ( -1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.86% ( -1.59) | 36.14% ( 1.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.75% ( -1.77) | 58.25% ( 1.77) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.3% ( -0.72) | 12.7% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.1% ( -1.52) | 38.9% ( 1.52) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.66% ( -0.62) | 29.33% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.69% ( -0.77) | 65.31% ( 0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | The New Saints |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.19)1-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.39)3-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.15)5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.07)Other @ 4.1% Total : 56.68% | 1-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.09% | 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.14% Total : 22.23% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
