SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 86.73%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 4.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 4-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.01%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 1-2 (1.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Barry Town United |
86.73% ( 0.15) | 8.85% ( -0.06) | 4.42% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.29% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.6% ( -0.14) | 22.4% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.55% ( -0.19) | 41.45% ( 0.19) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.61% | 3.39% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 85.14% ( -0) | 14.86% ( 0.01) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.02% ( -0.46) | 48.98% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.06% ( -0.33) | 83.94% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Barry Town United |
| 3-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.05)6-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.04)7-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)7-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.93% Total : 86.72% | 1-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.76% Total : 8.85% | 1-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 1.81% Total : 4.42% |
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