SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 78.97%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 7.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.73%) and 1-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.39%), while for a Bala Town win it was 0-1 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Bala Town |
78.97% ( -0.01) | 13.54% ( -0) | 7.49% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.8% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.22% ( 0.06) | 33.77% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.39% ( 0.06) | 55.61% ( -0.07) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.21% ( 0.01) | 6.78% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.97% ( 0.03) | 25.02% ( -0.03) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.28% ( 0.07) | 48.71% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.24% ( 0.05) | 83.75% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Bala Town |
| 2-0 @ 11.96% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.72% ( 0)4-0 @ 7.22% ( -0)4-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 3.89% 5-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.74% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.25% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 3.33% Total : 78.97% | 1-1 @ 6.39% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.75% Total : 13.54% | 0-1 @ 2.38% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.3% ( 0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 7.49% |
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