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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 61.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.63%) and 0-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 2-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | The New Saints |
18.7% ( -0.31) | 19.85% ( -0.13) | 61.46% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 60.27% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.64% ( 0.11) | 35.36% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.61% ( 0.13) | 57.4% ( -0.12) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.82% ( -0.24) | 32.18% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.34% ( -0.28) | 68.67% ( 0.29) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.87% ( 0.15) | 11.14% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.43% ( 0.33) | 35.58% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | The New Saints |
| 2-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.27% Total : 18.7% | 1-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 19.85% | 1-2 @ 9.79% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.06)0-1 @ 7.87% ( 0)1-3 @ 7.16% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 6.32% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 4.06% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.93% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 3.47% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.73% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 1.52% ( 0.04)2-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.79% Total : 61.46% |
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