SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 48.99%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for The New Saints in this match.
| Result | ||
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | The New Saints |
26.84% ( -0.48) | 24.17% ( 0.01) | 48.99% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 56.18% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.22% ( -0.37) | 45.78% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.91% ( -0.36) | 68.09% ( 0.36) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.15% ( -0.56) | 30.85% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.87% ( -0.67) | 67.13% ( 0.67) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.24% ( 0.05) | 18.76% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.84% ( 0.08) | 50.16% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | The New Saints |
| 1-0 @ 6.81% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 4% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.94% Total : 26.84% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.17% | 0-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 5.32% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.52% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.29% Total : 48.99% |
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