SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | The New Saints |
25.61% ( 0.43) | 24.69% ( 0.14) | 49.7% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 53.37% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.04% ( -0.23) | 48.95% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.96% ( -0.21) | 71.04% ( 0.21) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.48% ( 0.23) | 33.51% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.85% ( 0.25) | 70.15% ( -0.25) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.28% ( -0.32) | 19.72% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.26% ( -0.52) | 51.74% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pen-y-Bont | Draw | The New Saints |
| 1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.35% Total : 25.61% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 10.73% 1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.91% Total : 49.7% |
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