SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 88.16%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 3.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 4-0 (10.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.89%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (1.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
88.16% ( 1.05) | 8.27% ( -0.64) | 3.56% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 43.37% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.24% ( 1.16) | 24.75% ( -1.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.4% ( 1.51) | 44.59% ( -1.52) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.45% ( 0.34) | 3.54% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 84.61% ( 1.12) | 15.38% ( -1.13) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.96% ( -0.89) | 55.03% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.1% ( -0.54) | 87.9% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
| 3-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.88% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.36)3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.14)5-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.42)1-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.32)2-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.31)4-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.15)6-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.33)6-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.03)7-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.2)5-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)7-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.96% Total : 88.16% | 1-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.49% Total : 8.27% | 0-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.13)Other @ 1.23% Total : 3.56% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
