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Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 29, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
TL

Fiorentina
1 - 0
Torino

Ranieri (83')
Biraghi (24'), Kayode (68'), Ranieri (75'), Ikone (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ricci (55'), Djidji (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monza 0-1 Fiorentina
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-1 Udinese
Saturday, December 23 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Torino

While Torino have enjoyed success in this fixture in the recent past, Fiorentina come into this match with all the momentum and following five consecutive home wins in all competitions. The visitors are no pushover, but we fancy the hosts to take the points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Torino had a probability of 17.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fiorentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
FiorentinaDrawTorino
60.15% (-0.526 -0.53) 22.73% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 17.13% (0.603 0.6)
Both teams to score 47.52% (1.392 1.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.27% (1.234 1.23)50.73% (-1.232 -1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.37% (1.078 1.08)72.63% (-1.075 -1.08)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.52% (0.252 0.25)16.48% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.81% (0.452 0.45)46.19% (-0.45 -0.45)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.89% (1.499 1.5)43.11% (-1.497 -1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.62% (1.238 1.24)79.38% (-1.236 -1.24)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 60.13%
    Torino 17.13%
    Draw 22.72%
FiorentinaDrawTorino
1-0 @ 12.8% (-0.54 -0.54)
2-0 @ 11.54% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.087 0.09)
3-0 @ 6.94% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.84% (0.101 0.1)
4-0 @ 3.13% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.068 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.14 0.14)
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.072 0.07)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 60.13%
1-1 @ 10.77%
0-0 @ 7.1% (-0.359 -0.36)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.202 0.2)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 22.72%
0-1 @ 5.98% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.54% (0.187 0.19)
0-2 @ 2.52% (0.083 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.27% (0.102 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 17.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Monza 0-1 Fiorentina
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Ferencvaros 1-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Roma 1-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Parma (4-1 pen.)
Wednesday, December 6 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Fiorentina 3-0 Salernitana
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-1 Udinese
Saturday, December 23 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-0 Empoli
Saturday, December 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 0-0 Torino
Sunday, December 10 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 3-0 Atalanta
Monday, December 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Torino
Monday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Torino
Saturday, November 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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