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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 21, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
FL

Torino
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Sanabria (66')
Singo (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jovic (48')
Mandragora (19'), Bianco (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 Torino
Sunday, May 14 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Basel 1-3 Fiorentina
Thursday, May 18 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Torino 1-1 Fiorentina

Torino have not won any of their last 15 Serie A matches after conceding a goal, such has been their lack of precision in the final third. Indeed, the last time they won without keeping a clean sheet was back in October, so if Fiorentina can find the net, these two mid-table teams could stay locked together on points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Torino had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
TorinoDrawFiorentina
26.4% (-0.41 -0.41) 26.13% (0.119 0.12) 47.47% (0.298 0.3)
Both teams to score 49.68% (-0.66699999999999 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.87% (-0.71 -0.71)54.13% (0.716 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.46% (-0.598 -0.6)75.55% (0.60300000000001 0.6)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.36% (-0.72199999999999 -0.72)35.64% (0.728 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.59% (-0.754 -0.75)72.41% (0.759 0.76)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.2% (-0.163 -0.16)22.8% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.49% (-0.247 -0.25)56.51% (0.251 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Torino 26.4%
    Fiorentina 47.46%
    Draw 26.13%
TorinoDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 8.39% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.39% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-0 @ 4.33% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.2% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.49% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 26.4%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.13% (0.225 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 12.01% (0.27 0.27)
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.88% (0.158 0.16)
1-3 @ 4.51% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.38% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.62% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 47.46%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 Torino
Sunday, May 14 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-1 Monza
Sunday, May 7 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-2 Torino
Wednesday, May 3 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-2 Atalanta
Saturday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 0-1 Torino
Saturday, April 22 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-1 Salernitana
Sunday, April 16 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Basel 1-3 Fiorentina
Thursday, May 18 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Udinese
Sunday, May 14 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-2 Basel
Thursday, May 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Napoli 1-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, May 7 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 3-3 Fiorentina
Wednesday, May 3 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 5-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, April 30 at 5pm in Serie A


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